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Gold Reaches New Heights at $1130 oz. Where Does It Go From Here?

This morning Gold has surged again to a record high of over $1130 per oz as safe haven buying and a continuing weak dollar fuel continued demand. But where is gold heading?

gold_bug_1In an interview with The Daily Telegraph during a London gold conference, Barrick President Aaron Regent said that one could argue that Earth has reached “peak gold,” as new supplies of the ore are increasingly difficult to find.

“The supply crunch has helped push gold to an all-time high, reaching $1,118 an ounce at one stage yesterday,” the paper noted. “The key driver over recent days has been the move by India’s central bank to soak up half of the gold being sold by the International Monetary Fund. It is the latest sign that the rising powers of Asia and the commodity bloc are growing wary of Western paper money and debt.”

Bloomberg reported that  “The metal seems set to extend higher as record low interest rates, inflation concerns, central-bank purchases and falling mine output draws a broad spectrum of investment demand,” said James Moore, analyst at TheBullionDesk.com, in a note to clients.

“We are looking to see if the dollar index breaks lower, which could push gold above $1,150 and on towards $1,180,” he said.

Another analyst stared that “This is a different type of gold rally, with support coming from both sides of the market — investment [and] fundamental,” said Darin Newsom, a senior analyst at Telvent DTN. “A certain portion of the buying interest has come from the continued weakness of the dollar, but there is more to it than that, there is some ‘safe haven’ buying as well, but with copper holding firm and the Baltic Dry Index rallying, the Chinese economy seems to be gaining strength,” boosting investor confidence, he said.

And further confirmation of the  retail demand for gold comes from Laura Sperber in her Baltimore Coin Show Market Report. Sperber observered that”if you had gold, you sold”. ALL gold, was selling briskly. The demand reminded us of 1980″.

Also, news from last week that India had purchased 200 tonnes of gold from the IMF was solid confirmation that demand may be here to stay. The view that central banks will continue to be net buyers of gold rather than net sellers (as has been the case for about the last twenty years) has many calling the Indian purchase at $1,045 an ounce the “new floor” for the gold price.

China has already doubled its gold reserves over the last six years, but the Indian move underscored how even the most traditional investors are shifting a portion of their assets into bullion.

So at this juncture, all indicators seem to point to the continued rise in gold prices, at least for the near term.

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